Predictions Show Tropical Storm Jose Could Head Toward Connecticut
Start an Emergency & Disaster Management Degree at American Military University.
The forecast cone of uncertainty, which represents potential paths for the storm, released by the National Hurricane Center late Friday morning shows the cone encompassing all of Connecticut. Predictions are released routinely thorugh the day.
Forecaster warn not to focus on the exact track of the cone. The NHC does say that the cone can be in error and hazardous conditions can exist beyond its boundaries.
“When we have this, we watch this critically,” Fox 61 meteorologist Matt Scott said of this recent prediction. “But five days out, we don’t worry.”
Scott said many of the models, and the National Hurricane Center, are predicting that the storm will continue out east of New England further into the Atlantic Ocean. “A lot can happen,” Scott said.
“The storm could foreseeably end up anywhere in the cone,” Scott said. “Does that mean it’s coming for us… no.”
The National Weather Service’s Taunton, Mass. office has been posting about the storm on Twitter, alerting residents to the latest predictions.
They said in a Tweet: “Too much uncertainty for any immediate action regarding Jose, but folks in [Southern New England] should be prepared for potential impacts.”
Among what is not clear to forecasters is the full extent of the strength of the storm should it reach Connecticut. While Jose is a tropical storm now, they predict it may restrengthen into a hurricane.
Forecasters said it’s important to note that the cone does not relate to the size of the storm, but rather is drawn so that about 2/3 of the time the storm is inside the cone given its potential to shift in direction.
Impacts, they say, often happen outside the cone.
Scott thinks that the greatest impact would be to the water in the Atlantic Ocean, and that those with boating interests should pay close attention. That said, he and many meteorologists and members of the public alike will be keeping a close eye on Jose.
Should this storm turn towards land, it would be the third major storm to impact the United States in recent weeks with the public attention to hurricanes heightened by both HurricaneHarvey and Hurricane Irene.
The last time a hurricane hit Connecticut was Hurricane Sandy in October 2012. The storm did heavy damage, especially across Connecticut’s shoreline. In the time since, with the help of both state and federal grants, many shoreline towns have better prepared infrastructure should another storm of that strength hit. ___
This article is written by Nicholas Rondinone from The Hartford Courant and was legally licensed via the Tribune Content Agency through the NewsCred publisher network. Please direct all licensing questions to email@example.com.